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Challenge simulator

Test your strategy against evaluation rules. Explore completion, time and costs with reproducible scenarios.

Public previewHow it works

Configure your simulation

Your strategy. Your assumptions.

Challenge

Select a published evaluation. Only presets with verified core rules can run.

Firm

Instant Funding is excluded. Browse all challenges

Strategy

Use your own assumptions. Risk stays fixed to initial capital across all trades.

Select an account to see the amount at risk per trade.

Closed trades grouped into each simulated trading day.

Total budget for all phases of one attempt.

The same seed and inputs reproduce the same result.

Choose a challenge or switch to Custom.

Results

A model, with visible assumptions

See how your strategy holds up

Choose an evaluation or define your own rules, then run the model to estimate completion within a fixed trade budget.

  1. 01Pick a challenge and review its rules.
  2. 02Enter your win rate, reward-to-risk ratio and fixed risk.
  3. 03Compare completed, breached and incomplete scenarios.

Closed-trade model · reproducible seed · no account required

Choose a challenge or use Custom

How it works

  1. Choose a challenge

    Select a firm, program and account, or use your own rules.

  2. Set your strategy

    Enter your win rate, reward-to-risk ratio and fixed risk.

  3. Run and explore

    Review the outcomes. Adjust your assumptions and run again.

How should I read the results?

Passed means every phase completed; breached means a modeled rule was broken. Incomplete means the trade budget ran out. All three count toward the completion rate. The 95% interval describes sampling uncertainty under your assumptions, not certainty about your real win rate. Time estimates count trading days among successful scenarios only.

What do the cost estimates include?

Attempts use 1 divided by the completion probability, assuming independent, identical attempts. Entry-fee estimates require a known one-time fee, at least one pass and no incomplete scenarios. Monthly billing, activation, resets and refunds are excluded. Fees retain their original currency.

What assumptions does the model make?

The Monte Carlo model generates independent trade outcomes using a constant win rate and reward-to-risk ratio. Risk is a fixed percentage of initial capital. Advanced settings control the number of scenarios, trade budget and seed. The same inputs and seed reproduce the same result.

What are the model’s limits?

Only closed-trade balances are modeled. Open-position drawdown, spreads, commissions and slippage are excluded. Firm-specific restrictions may also fall outside the model; review the selected program’s scope and source rules. Results depend on your assumptions and do not guarantee real-world completion.